Posted on Monday, 13th February 2012 by Nate Sawers
Oh give me a break…..
Role of Financial Conditions in Economic Recovery: Lending and Leverage
Staff summarized research projects being conducted across the Federal Reserve System on the effects of changes in lending practices and household leverage on consumer spending in recent years. These projects provided a range of views regarding the size and importance of such effects. An analysis employing aggregate time-series data indicated that changes in income, household assets and liabilities, and credit availability can largely account for the movements in aggregate consumption seen since the mid-1990s; this finding suggests that changes in credit conditions may have been an important factor driving changes in the saving rate in recent years.
No really? You needed a study to know this? Who wants to hand in their PhDs right here and now?
A second analysis used data on borrowing, debt repayments, and other credit factors for individual borrowers; this study found that movements in leverage–resulting from voluntary loan repayments and from loan charge-offs–have had a substantial effect on the cash flow of many households over time, and thus presumably on their spending. H
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